Search found 8018 matches

by RRM
Tue 31 Mar 2020 06:51
Forum: General health issues
Topic: Coronavirus
Replies: 25
Views: 408

Re: Coronavirus

For italy, the gap between newly infected and newly recovered peaked at 21/3, and has more or less stabilized since. That peak was 3 weeks after exiting the volatile phase B. For Italy, the gap between newly infected and newly recovered is narrowing since 28/3, one week after peaking. Some scientis...
by RRM
Mon 30 Mar 2020 06:47
Forum: General health issues
Topic: Coronavirus
Replies: 25
Views: 408

Re: Coronavirus

With those numbers I can imagine that Netherlands is testing only dead people posthumously (or people in extremely bad condition). No, the active cases number was always much higher. somehow, they didnt/dont report recoveries properly. This morning, coincidentally, (some of) that underreporting has...
by RRM
Sun 29 Mar 2020 17:17
Forum: General health issues
Topic: Coronavirus
Replies: 25
Views: 408

Re: Coronavirus

There are a few more countries newly on the list of countries with vey bad testing reports (and >100 deaths); The accumulated death rates vs recovert rates 213 Netherlands (probably unreliable data) 19 Brazil 7.5 UK 6.6 Sweden 2.3 Portugal 1.8 Indonesia 1.5 Turkey Bolsenaro (Brazil) has, for economi...
by RRM
Sun 29 Mar 2020 12:08
Forum: General health issues
Topic: Coronavirus
Replies: 25
Views: 408

Re: Coronavirus

RRM wrote:
Sun 29 Mar 2020 08:47
it might be that the newly infected vs newly recovered will peak somewehere near april 15.
Some scientists concluded similarly;
"Forecasters at the University of Washington's School of Medicine believe the peak of the outbreak may come in mid-April".
by RRM
Sun 29 Mar 2020 08:47
Forum: General health issues
Topic: Coronavirus
Replies: 25
Views: 408

Re: Coronavirus

For italy, the gap between newly infected and newly recovered peaked at 21/3, and has more or less stabilized since. That peak was 3 weeks after exiting the volatile phase B. The daily new deaths are plateauing also (just a slight increase still) The USA has exited the volatile phase on 25/03. Proje...
by RRM
Sat 28 Mar 2020 12:43
Forum: General health issues
Topic: Coronavirus
Replies: 25
Views: 408

Re: Coronavirus

RRM wrote:
Fri 27 Mar 2020 07:52
There must be something wrong with the dutch numbers, as they still report only 3 recoveries (vs 434 deaths)
Another 112 netherlands deaths added to the total, and no recoveries.
That does not make any sense. So, the dutch stats are totally unreliable.
by RRM
Fri 27 Mar 2020 07:52
Forum: General health issues
Topic: Coronavirus
Replies: 25
Views: 408

Re: Coronavirus

The USA is doing better now. They ramped up testing and some major cities are in lockdown. This is reflected in the stats; the deaths/recoveries rate plunged down to 0.7 per 26/03. Lockdown is not nationwide though, and testing vigor varies greatly locally, so we may still see serious spreading in n...
by RRM
Fri 27 Mar 2020 07:33
Forum: General health issues
Topic: Coronavirus
Replies: 25
Views: 408

Re: Coronavirus

Probably wallstreet is doing calculations like this to "beat" the markets. Yes, i cannot imagine that they dont. Anything that could be remotely useful how good or bad things will go in countries and the world in aggregate Im afraid that things will get really ugly in India and African countries; a...
by RRM
Thu 26 Mar 2020 08:20
Forum: General health issues
Topic: Coronavirus
Replies: 25
Views: 408

Re: Coronavirus

Okay, so I see the ABCD graph modal you (RRM) made, you glued pieces together. Exactly. Germany never went through the volatile phase (with death rates topping recovery rates); Germany went straight from phase A to C. This may be due to their early and aggressive regimen of testing. https://www.was...
by RRM
Wed 25 Mar 2020 19:19
Forum: General health issues
Topic: Coronavirus
Replies: 25
Views: 408

Re: Coronavirus

Aytundra wrote:
Wed 25 Mar 2020 14:39
That the current numbers that we have on COVID cases each day in each country is not an accurate reflection of the true number of peoples infected with COVID.
Indeed.
And the deaths/recovered rate clearly shows that
by RRM
Wed 25 Mar 2020 09:05
Forum: General health issues
Topic: Coronavirus
Replies: 25
Views: 408

Re: Coronavirus

I think trying to do any analysis based on the reported statistics is futile and cannot be trusted. Similar to findings in medical scientific studies, these statistics also contain a lot of noise. But as with scientific studies, i do not think that these stats are useless, and that they can be tell...
by RRM
Mon 23 Mar 2020 19:34
Forum: General health issues
Topic: Coronavirus
Replies: 25
Views: 408

Re: Coronavirus

Corona-outcome-stats-UK.jpg
by RRM
Mon 23 Mar 2020 19:10
Forum: General health issues
Topic: Coronavirus
Replies: 25
Views: 408

Re: Coronavirus

When comparing the top 3 to Italy;
Phase B did not even last a week in Italy, compared to already 16 days in The Netherlands,18 days in the UK, and 22 days in the USA.
Corona-outcome-stats-Netherlands.jpg
by RRM
Mon 23 Mar 2020 17:35
Forum: General health issues
Topic: Coronavirus
Replies: 25
Views: 408

Re: Coronavirus

I think that outcomes may partially reflect to what extend people got tested. A high rate may mean that people with milder symptoms simply never got tested. These untested postive cases will push up the infection rates. The (accumulated) deaths/recovered rates, (for countries with more than 100 deat...
by RRM
Mon 23 Mar 2020 11:17
Forum: General health issues
Topic: Coronavirus
Replies: 25
Views: 408

Re: Coronavirus

Corona-outcome-stats-Italy.jpg