Aytundra wrote: ↑Tue 31 Mar 2020 18:44 others have a 2 week quarantine from onset, before they can consider recovered.

Which would cause a delay in reported recoveries, indeed

If I would consume 20 egg yolks per day (what is impossible, too expensive and my skin can not tolerate such amount) and 1500g orange juice I would still get too little iron 13mg. 27 mg which could be too much https://www.waiworld.com/waidiet/nut-calcsimple.html 10 eggs + 1500 mg OJ would result in...

For italy, the gap between newly infected and newly recovered peaked at 21/3, and has more or less stabilized since. That peak was 3 weeks after exiting the volatile phase B. For Italy, the gap between newly infected and newly recovered is narrowing since 28/3, one week after peaking. Some scientis...

With those numbers I can imagine that Netherlands is testing only dead people posthumously (or people in extremely bad condition). No, the active cases number was always much higher. somehow, they didnt/dont report recoveries properly. This morning, coincidentally, (some of) that underreporting has...

There are a few more countries newly on the list of countries with vey bad testing reports (and >100 deaths); The accumulated death rates vs recovert rates 213 Netherlands (probably unreliable data) 19 Brazil 7.5 UK 6.6 Sweden 2.3 Portugal 1.8 Indonesia 1.5 Turkey Bolsenaro (Brazil) has, for economi...

RRM wrote: ↑Sun 29 Mar 2020 08:47 it might be that the newly infected vs newly recovered will peak somewehere near april 15.

Some scientists concluded similarly;
"Forecasters at the University of Washington's School of Medicine believe the peak of the outbreak may come in mid-April".

For italy, the gap between newly infected and newly recovered peaked at 21/3, and has more or less stabilized since. That peak was 3 weeks after exiting the volatile phase B. The daily new deaths are plateauing also (just a slight increase still) The USA has exited the volatile phase on 25/03. Proje...

RRM wrote: ↑Fri 27 Mar 2020 07:52 There must be something wrong with the dutch numbers, as they still report only 3 recoveries (vs 434 deaths)

Another 112 netherlands deaths added to the total, and no recoveries.
That does not make any sense. So, the dutch stats are totally unreliable.

The USA is doing better now. They ramped up testing and some major cities are in lockdown. This is reflected in the stats; the deaths/recoveries rate plunged down to 0.7 per 26/03. Lockdown is not nationwide though, and testing vigor varies greatly locally, so we may still see serious spreading in n...

Probably wallstreet is doing calculations like this to "beat" the markets. Yes, i cannot imagine that they dont. Anything that could be remotely useful how good or bad things will go in countries and the world in aggregate Im afraid that things will get really ugly in India and African countries; a...

Okay, so I see the ABCD graph modal you (RRM) made, you glued pieces together. Exactly. Germany never went through the volatile phase (with death rates topping recovery rates); Germany went straight from phase A to C. This may be due to their early and aggressive regimen of testing. https://www.was...

Aytundra wrote: ↑Wed 25 Mar 2020 14:39 That the current numbers that we have on COVID cases each day in each country is not an accurate reflection of the true number of peoples infected with COVID.

Indeed.
And the deaths/recovered rate clearly shows that

I think trying to do any analysis based on the reported statistics is futile and cannot be trusted. Similar to findings in medical scientific studies, these statistics also contain a lot of noise. But as with scientific studies, i do not think that these stats are useless, and that they can be tell...

When comparing the top 3 to Italy;
Phase B did not even last a week in Italy, compared to already 16 days in The Netherlands,18 days in the UK, and 22 days in the USA.